Start of Influenza Season Declared in Ottawa

To: Ottawa Physicians, Nurse Practitioners and Midwives
Date: November 12, 2026
From: Dr. Alysha Ahmed, Associate Medical Officer of Health
Subject: Start of Influenza Season Declared in Ottawa

Dear Colleagues:

Ottawa Public Health (OPH) has declared the start of the 2026-2027 influenza season in Ottawa as of October 31, 2026. 

Influenza season is declared when the percent positivity for influenza exceeds 5% for two consecutive weeks. For the week ending October 31, 2026, the percentage of respiratory lab specimens positive for influenza was 6.6%. The week prior, the percentage of respiratory lab specimens positive for influenza was 5.3%. 

Most recently, for the week ending November 7, 2026, percent positivity for influenza was 6.1%. In addition to a rising proportion of tests positive for influenza, hospitalizations for influenza have also been increasing.

Influenza Epidemiology- 2026-2027 Respiratory Season to Date

  • A total of 253 laboratory-confirmed influenza cases have been reported in Ottawa to date this season. Of these cases, 98.8% (250/253) have been influenza A.
  • Provincially and nationally, the majority of influenza cases to date are influenza A with some influenza B cases also reported, as is typical during the early flu season. To date, influenza A(H1N1) is the dominant subtype among sub-typed influenza A specimens.

Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness & Strain Characterization

  • Initial estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness in Canada typically aren’t available until later in the season.
  • Influenza genetic characterization results from the National Microbiology Lab (NML) show that 97.8% (90/92) of characterized H1N1 samples are subclade D.3.1.1.
  • All H1N1 isolates antigenically characterized at NML this season have had similar reactivity to the vaccine strain, demonstrating good vaccine-to-circulating strain match.
  • Vaccination remains a key tool for protection against influenza A and B, including severe outcomes from influenza.

Influenza Resources

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